Israel has Crossed the Muslim Red Line

Douglas Macgregor argues that Israel's actions in Gaza have crossed a red line for the Muslim world, and as a result, Israel will find itself at war with the entire Islamic world. He believes that the hatred between Israelis and Arabs is now so great that it is impossible for them to live in peace in the foreseeable future.

He also believes that the Israeli government's claims of wanting to end the threat will not succeed, and that the two sides will only come to a temporary ceasefire in the future. He suggests that Israel may ultimately have to drive the Palestinians out of the West Bank and Palestine, which would spark a regional war against Israel. Macgregor urges generally supportive of Israel to intervene and save the people of Israel from themselves.

Macgregor discusses the idea of trip wires and their effectiveness in deterring conflict. Macgregor believes that trip wires have passed their time and could lead to unintended consequences, such as a direct attack on Iran. Macgregor also believes that the idea that Turkey and Erdogan are not serious about a potential conflict is misguided, as they have a history of diverse opinions about the Turks, and Erdogan is widely seen as a de facto leader of Islam in the region. Macgregor also notes that Turkey has a capable and large army, while Iran has an arsenal of tactical and theater ballistic missiles and unmanned systems that could potentially devastate Israel.

Macgregor discusses the concept of extended deterrence and how it has changed in the wake of proliferation and advances in technology. He points out that Israel's nuclear capabilities, though substantial, are not enough to prevent attacks from other countries in the region, including Turkey. Macgregor suggests that Turkey's relation with Anatolian Turks provide the relationship as the model for many Muslim states, and notes that Pakistan has made its willingness to share its nuclear weapons with Turkey known on numerous occasions.

He also mentions that Turkey has developed a large inventory of drones, which may be used in conventional warfare. Macgregor argues that Israel has enjoyed two critical advantages, support from the US and access to nuclear weapons, but that these advantages are no longer available, and there is a potential for action from Turkey to move against Israel. He suggests that Israel does not have a reliable deterrent against attack by Turkey, and he later questions the effectiveness of extended deterrence in general.

Douglas Macgregor discusses the geopolitical situation in the Middle East following Israel's recent actions. He asserts that Israel has crossed the "Muslim red line," and as a result, the whole region will be in conflict. Macgregor thinks that the construction of a strong conventional force of NATO has put Israel in a difficult position and that they need to act quickly if they want to achieve their objectives.

Douglas Abbott Macgregor is a retired U.S. Army colonel and government official, and an author, consultant, and television commentator. He led an early tank battle in the Gulf War and was a top planner in the 1999 NATO bombing of Yugoslavia.

Related Suggestions

The opinions expressed herein, through this post or comments, contain positions and viewpoints that are not necessarily those of IslamiCity. These are offered as a means for IslamiCity to stimulate dialogue and discussion in our continuing mission of being an educational organization. The IslamiCity site may occasionally contain copyrighted material the use of which may not always have been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. IslamiCity is making such material available in its effort to advance understanding of humanitarian, education, democracy, and social justice issues, etc. We believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, and such (and all) material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes.